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FLIPR forecasts vs prediction markets show 3-point average difference

, 5 items in Interesting Finds, 3 min read

In this digest (5 items)

FLIPR forecasts align closely with prediction markets, with the average state differing by only 3 points. The markets are more bullish on Ds in AK and MS and more bearish in states with historical polling errors and the Stevens/AES issue in MI.

Key points

  • Agreement between prediction markets and final FLIPR forecasts.

  • Average state difference is only 3 points.

Sources

Salesforce Cresta acquisition reported for $2.7B

Salesforce Cresta acquisition reported for $2.7B. The deal follows Salesforce's earlier purchase of Fin for $3.6B and its development of Agentforce Voice.

Key points

  • Purchase price: $2.7B for Cresta.

  • Prior acquisitions: Fin for $3.6B and Agentforce Voice built in-house.

Sources

Cresta acquisition $2.7B by Salesforce announced

Cresta acquisition $2.7B by Salesforce announced, buying AI-powered contact center automation software. The post also claims Salesforce bought Intercom and Cresta to put a soft cap on Decagon and Sierra.

Key points

  • Acquisition price: $2.7 billion

  • Cresta provides AI-powered contact center automation software

Sources

Every Thesis: 2027 conference live with 4-person team

Every announced a live Thursday session with @joasinjordan showing how a 4-person team built the Thesis: 2027 conference using Claude, Codex, the Every Agent, and Notion. The event streams all three stages for free.

Key points

  • Live Thursday with @joasinjordan.

  • Built with Claude, Codex, the Every Agent, and Notion.

  • Team size: 4 people.

Sources

Messages API message threads public beta launch

Message threads are now in public beta on the Messages API. The API caches the conversation on the server, so you send only new messages and the previous message ID, and Claude starts responding sooner.

Key points

  • Message threads are now in public beta on the Messages API.

  • The API caches your conversation on the server between turns, allowing you to send only new messages and the previous message ID.

Sources