π Finance - Market Trends
The US Treasury's end game is a weaker dollar, and foreign buyers have no choice but to play along. The largest ever CTA short position in history is a testament to this trend.
Key Points:
Weaker Dollar Trend: The US Treasury's end game is a weaker dollar, and foreign buyers have no choice but to play along.
Largest CTA Short Position: The largest ever CTA short position in history is a testament to this trend.
Market Impact: This trend has significant implications for the global economy and financial markets.
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π Relationships - Breakups
What's something that hurts more than a breakup? Getting ghosted after you thought things were going well? Losing a friend you trusted? Or watching someone you love slowly become a stranger?
Key Points:
Breakup Pain: Breakups can be painful, but getting ghosted or losing a friend can be even more hurtful.
Emotional Impact: These experiences can have a significant emotional impact on a person.
Relationship Dynamics: Understanding relationship dynamics is crucial to navigating these situations.
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π Trading - PnL
The shift from volume to PnL is what makes this worth watching. Builder Code data tells us how much trading FOMO is routing. Realized PnL shows what happened when those positions were actually closed.
Key Points:
PnL Shift: The shift from volume to PnL is a significant trend in trading.
Trading FOMO: Trading FOMO is a major driver of market activity.
Realized PnL: Realized PnL provides a more accurate picture of trading performance.
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π¨ Banking - Disintermediation
I've spoken to three different bank leadership teams this week, two very large They're in a cold sweat over Muse and absolutely see a threat of being disintermediated. This will become a lobbying fight. Framing Meta is attacking the safety and soundness of banking.
Key Points:
Banking Disintermediation: Muse is a significant threat to traditional banking.
Lobbying Fight: The banking industry will likely engage in a lobbying fight to address this issue.
Safety and Soundness: The safety and soundness of banking are being called into question.
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π€ Software - LLMs
Software has never been in a more sorry state than it is today. I believe that, ultimately, the blame lies with managers, who have placed insane time constraints on developers, forcing them to use LLM slopbots without having time to review all the code by hand.
Key Points:
Software State: The state of software development is concerning.
Managerial Blame: Managers are partly to blame for the current state of software development.
LLM Use: The use of LLMs is a symptom of the larger issue.
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π Finance - Bond Market
THIS IS GETTING INSANE. The US 10-year yield just broke above 5.2%. Polymarket now gives it a 54% chance of hitting 5.4% before 2027. Apparently weβre actually gambling on how far the US bond market can get pushed before something breaks.
Key Points:
Bond Market Trend: The US bond market is experiencing a significant trend.
Yield Break: The 10-year yield has broken above 5.2%.
Polymarket Odds: Polymarket gives a 54% chance of the yield hitting 5.4% before 2027.
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πΈ AI - Sensor Data
Good evening CT The next generation of AI may need more than satellite images and street maps. It needs to understand the places those systems can't see. That's what makes @vangrid_io interesting. Ordinary phones can become mobile sensors, capturing stairs, loading areas, and more.
Key Points:
AI Sensor Data: The next generation of AI requires more than just satellite images and street maps.
Mobile Sensors: Ordinary phones can become mobile sensors, capturing important data.
@vangrid_io: @vangrid_io is an interesting example of this trend.
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πͺ Web3 - Resilience
there are a lot of things going on right now on web3 we've experienced hacks, NFT leaks, and all kinds of unexpected situations but what I want to say from personal experience is, never give up and move on to your goal no one can stop you happy weekend
Key Points:
Web3 Resilience: Web3 projects must be resilient in the face of adversity.
Personal Experience: The author has experienced setbacks in web3 projects.
Goal-Oriented: The key to success is to stay focused on your goal.
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π Sports - Fan Loyalty
Man City fans, be honest for a second. Has everything happening around the club changed the way you look at City and its success? Curious to hear what you really think.
Key Points:
Fan Loyalty: Fan loyalty is a complex issue in sports.
Club Dynamics: The dynamics of the club can impact fan loyalty.
Success: The success of the club can also impact fan loyalty.
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π History - US Debt
Fun fact: In late 2001 the US government stopped issuing 30yr debt because there was a surplus. The federal government expected to have no public debt left to finance within a decade.
Key Points:
US Debt History: The US government has a complex history with debt.
Surplus: The government stopped issuing 30yr debt due to a surplus.
Public Debt: The goal was to eliminate public debt within a decade.
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