Hurricane Polo is a powerful storm in the tropics, with maximum winds reaching up to 180mph. The storm's intensity is a concern for coastal areas, with swells of 5 to 6m expected on the coasts of Michoacán and Guerrero. The storm's trajectory and intensity are being closely monitored by weather experts.
Key points
Hurricane Intensity: Hurricane Polo is a Category 5 storm, with maximum winds reaching up to 180mph.
Storm Trajectory: The storm's trajectory is being closely monitored by weather experts, with a focus on its potential impact on coastal areas.
Coastal Swells: Swells of 5 to 6m are expected on the coasts of Michoacán and Guerrero, with lower swells expected on other coastal areas.
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Weather - Long Range NAM Matters
The long range NAM model is a useful tool for predicting the trajectory of storms like Hurricane Polo. When the NAM model has the same general solution as the European suite 84 hours out, it tends to be the correct solution. This is because the NAM model is a good indicator of the storm's trajectory.
Key points
Long Range NAM: The long range NAM model is a useful tool for predicting the trajectory of storms like Hurricane Polo.
European Suite: The European suite is a group of models that are used to predict the trajectory of storms.
Storm Trajectory: The storm's trajectory is being closely monitored by weather experts, with a focus on its potential impact on coastal areas.
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Weather - Recon is on its way to #Polo
Recon is on its way to #Polo, and they could find an extremely intense system. Recent microwave satellite imagery suggests that an eyewall replacement is actually not imminent, which means further strengthening is on the table.
Key points
Recon: Recon is on its way to #Polo, and they could find an extremely intense system.
Eyewall Replacement: Recent microwave satellite imagery suggests that an eyewall replacement is actually not imminent.
Storm Strengthening: Further strengthening is on the table, which means the storm could become even more intense.
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Weather - Extreme LIGHTNING activity in the core of Hurricane Polo
Extreme LIGHTNING activity in the core of Hurricane Polo! When you see a storm with the EEL, or "Enveloped Eyewall Lightning", it's a sign a storm may still be intensifying. The maximum winds peak AFTER the lightning activity peaks about 70% of the time.
Key points
Lightning Activity: Extreme LIGHTNING activity in the core of Hurricane Polo.
EEL: The EEL, or "Enveloped Eyewall Lightning", is a sign a storm may still be intensifying.
Storm Intensification: The maximum winds peak AFTER the lightning activity peaks about 70% of the time.
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Weather - The good news that's going for #Polo
The good news that's going for #Polo is that there's not really any signs of a secondary eyewall forming so the dominate eyewall will be remaining in place for now. So it definitely possible for Polo to reach 180mph.
Key points
Secondary Eyewall: There's not really any signs of a secondary eyewall forming.
Dominant Eyewall: The dominate eyewall will be remaining in place for now.
Storm Intensity: It's definitely possible for Polo to reach 180mph.
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Weather - BREAKING: NOAA Hurricane Hunters attempted to fly into Category 5 Hurricane Polo
BREAKING: NOAA Hurricane Hunters attempted to fly into Category 5 Hurricane Polo this morning to collect data. However, they were forced to turn back due to unknown issues. A new aircraft has just departed and is expected to arrive at the hurricane in the next 3 hours, and will collect data.
Key points
NOAA Hurricane Hunters: NOAA Hurricane Hunters attempted to fly into Category 5 Hurricane Polo.
Data Collection: The hunters were forced to turn back due to unknown issues, but a new aircraft is on its way to collect data.
Storm Intensity: The storm is a Category 5 hurricane.
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Weather - The 12z NAM means business
The 12z NAM means business. It's the 12km and not the 3km. Regardless chances are likely going up we see Gonzalo by the weekend assuming the GFS is certifiable trash.
Key points
12z NAM: The 12z NAM is a reliable model for predicting the trajectory of storms.
GFS: The GFS model is not as reliable as the 12z NAM.
Storm Trajectory: Chances are likely going up we see Gonzalo by the weekend.
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Weather - A MODERATE risk is in effect in our Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook
A MODERATE risk is in effect in our Day 1 Excessive Rainfall Outlook. More details: https://wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php
Key points
Excessive Rainfall Outlook: A MODERATE risk is in effect.
Rainfall Details: More details can be found at the provided link.
Storm Impact: The storm is expected to bring excessive rainfall.
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Weather - The "objectively" best day of the year is almost upon us
The "objectively" best day of the year is almost upon us #BestSeason #NCwx https://isjaredmiserable.com
Key points
Best Day of the Year: The "objectively" best day of the year is almost upon us.
Weather Conditions: The weather conditions are expected to be pleasant.
Season: The season is expected to be enjoyable.